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BEA

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2 days ago

Schedule for Week of June 1, 2025

The key report scheduled for this week is the May employment report.

Other key reports include the May ISM Manufacturing, Vehicle Sales and April trade balance.

----- Monday, June 2nd -----
10:00…

3 days ago

Personal Income increased 0.8% in April; Spending increased 0.2%

From the BEA: Personal Income and Outlays, April 2025
Personal income increased $210.1 billion (0.8 percent at a monthly rate) in April, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Ec…

4 days ago

Q1 GDP Growth Revised up to -0.2% Annual Rate

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product (Second Estimate), Corporate Profits (Preliminary Estimate), 1st Quarter 2025
Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.2 percent in the f…

13 days ago

Energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE

During the early stages of the pandemic, energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE hit an all-time low of 3.3% of PCE. Energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE increased to 2018 levels by the end …

May Vehicle Forecast: Sales "Cooling Off" to 15.9 million SAAR

From WardsAuto: U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales Cooling Off in May; Inventory Still Falling (pay content).  Brief excerpt:
With inventory set to continue declining month-to-month, and the cost to automakers …

28 days ago

Recession Watch Metrics

Early in February, I expressed my "increasing concern" about the negative economic impact of "executive / fiscal policy errors", however, I concluded that post by noting that I was not currently on r…

29 days ago

FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate

Most analysts expect no change to FOMC policy at the meeting this week, keeping the target range at 4 1/4 to 4 1/2 percent.    Market participants currently expect the FOMC to also be on hold at the …

31 days ago

Light Vehicles Sales "Beat the tariff" at 17.3 million SAAR in April

Wards Auto released their estimate of light vehicle sales for April: Tariff-Induced Buying Pumps U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales for Second Month in April (pay site).
Tariff-related buying lifted sales over …

33 days ago

Personal Income increased 0.5% in March; Spending increased 0.7%

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for March:
Personal income increased $116.8 billion (0.5 percent at a monthly rate) in March, according to estimates released today by the U.S…

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