Q2 GDP Tracking: Wide Range
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
From BofA:
Overall, 2Q GDP tracking is down from 2.7% q/q saar to 2.6%. [June 17th estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
We lowered our Q2 GDP trac…
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3 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Overall, 2Q GDP tracking is down from 2.7% q/q saar to 2.6%. [June 17th estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
We lowered our Q2 GDP trac…
10 days ago
Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q GDP tracking is unchanged at 2.7% q/q saar and 1Q GDP is down one-tenth to -0.1% q/q saar. [June 13th estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
The de…
17 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q GDP tracking is up to 2.7% q/q saar from 1.8% q/q saar and 1Q GDP is up two-tenths to 0.0% q/q saar. [June 6th estimate]From Goldman…
emphasis added
24 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q GDP tracking is down two-tenths to +1.8% q/q saar. [May 30th estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
The goods trade deficit narrowed by more than e…
31 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q and 1Q GDP tracking are down two-tenths each to +2.0% q/q saar and -0.5% q/q saar, respectively. [May 23rd estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
W…
38 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
We initiated our 2Q GDP tracking after the April retail sales print. It moved up two-tenth to 2.2% q/q saar from our official forecast of 2.0% q/q saar. Meanwhile, our 1Q GDP tracking mo…
45 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) …
52 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
GDP contracted by 0.3% q.q saar in 1Q, despite solid final demand (+2.3%). In our assessment, the surge in imports (which took 5.0pp off 1Q growth) due to front-r…
59 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
66 days ago
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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
1Q GDP tracking increased three tenths to 0.7% q/q saar after the upward revisions to Jan and Feb core control retail sales. [Apr 17th estimate]From Goldman:
emphasis added
We left our Q1 G…