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GDPNow

since 2025 › Jan › 18 (Sat) @ 08:21 UTC

auto-detected in 147 stories

3 days ago

Q2 GDP Tracking: Wide Range due to Trade "Distortions"

found 2025 › May › 30 (Fri) @ 20:10 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From BofA:

Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q GDP tracking is down two-tenths to +1.8% q/q saar. [May 30th estimate]
emphasis added

From Goldman:

The goods trade deficit narrowed by more than e…

10 days ago

Q2 GDP Tracking: Low 2%

found 2025 › May › 23 (Fri) @ 20:10 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From BofA:

Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q and 1Q GDP tracking are down two-tenths each to +2.0% q/q saar and -0.5% q/q saar, respectively. [May 23rd estimate]
emphasis added

From Goldman:

W…

17 days ago

Q2 GDP Tracking: Low-to-Mid 2%

found 2025 › May › 16 (Fri) @ 17:20 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From BofA:

We initiated our 2Q GDP tracking after the April retail sales print. It moved up two-tenth to 2.2% q/q saar from our official forecast of 2.0% q/q saar. Meanwhile, our 1Q GDP tracking mo…

24 days ago

Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 2%

found 2025 › May › 09 (Fri) @ 19:25 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Plenty of data next week! Note that the Blue Chip consensus is wide - and currently around 1%.

From the Atlanta Fed:

The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) …

31 days ago

Q2 GDP Tracking: Back to Growth, Wide Range

found 2025 › May › 02 (Fri) @ 21:25 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From BofA (forecast, not tracking):

GDP contracted by 0.3% q.q saar in 1Q, despite solid final demand (+2.3%). In our assessment, the surge in imports (which took 5.0pp off 1Q growth) due to front-r…

38 days ago

Q1 GDP Tracking: No Growth

found 2025 › Apr › 25 (Fri) @ 16:10 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

The advance estimate of Q1 GDP is scheduled to be released on Wednesday, April 30th. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in real GDP, quarter-over-quarter annualized - or essentially no growth in Q…

45 days ago

Q1 GDP Tracking: Near Zero Growth

found 2025 › Apr › 18 (Fri) @ 13:45 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From BofA:

1Q GDP tracking increased three tenths to 0.7% q/q saar after the upward revisions to Jan and Feb core control retail sales. [Apr 17th estimate]
emphasis added

From Goldman: