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3 days ago

Personal Income increased 0.8% in April; Spending increased 0.2%

From the BEA: Personal Income and Outlays, April 2025
Personal income increased $210.1 billion (0.8 percent at a monthly rate) in April, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Ec…

4 days ago

Q1 GDP Growth Revised up to -0.2% Annual Rate

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product (Second Estimate), Corporate Profits (Preliminary Estimate), 1st Quarter 2025
Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.2 percent in the f…

9 days ago

Schedule for Week of May 25, 2025

The key reports this week are the second estimate of Q1 GDP, March Case-Shiller house prices, and Personal Income and Outlays for April.

For manufacturing, the May Richmond and Dallas Fed manufactur…

13 days ago

Energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE

During the early stages of the pandemic, energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE hit an all-time low of 3.3% of PCE. Energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE increased to 2018 levels by the end …

20 days ago

YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter

Here are a few measures of inflation:

The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had mentioned two years ago when services less rent of shelter was up around 8% year-over-year.  This declined and i…

29 days ago

FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate

Most analysts expect no change to FOMC policy at the meeting this week, keeping the target range at 4 1/4 to 4 1/2 percent.    Market participants currently expect the FOMC to also be on hold at the …

33 days ago

Personal Income increased 0.5% in March; Spending increased 0.7%

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for March:
Personal income increased $116.8 billion (0.5 percent at a monthly rate) in March, according to estimates released today by the U.S…

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