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Q2

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5 days ago

6 days ago

Update: The Art of the Soft Landing

A year ago I wrote: The Art of the Soft Landing

A few excerpts and an updated graph ...
The "Art of the Soft Landing" requires that the Fed reduce rates quick enough to keep economic growth positive…

10 days ago

FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate

Most analysts expect no change to FOMC policy at the meeting this week, keeping the target range at 4 1/4 to 4 1/2 percent.    Market participants currently expect the FOMC to also be on hold at the …

26 days ago

Q2 GDP Tracking: Wide Range due to Trade "Distortions"

From BofA:
Since our last weekly publication, our 2Q GDP tracking is down two-tenths to +1.8% q/q saar. [May 30th estimate]
emphasis added
From Goldman:
The goods trade deficit narrowed by more than e…

43 days ago

MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increased Slightly in Q1 2025

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increased Slightly in Q1 2025

A brief excerpt:
From the MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increase Slightly in the First Qu…

51 days ago

ICE Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Continue to Cool

Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: ICE Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Continue to Cool

Brief excerpt:
House Price Growth Continues to Slow

Here is the year-over-year in house prices according to t…

52 days ago

FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate

Most analysts expect no change to FOMC policy at the meeting this week, keeping the target range at 4 1/4 to 4 1/2 percent.    Market participants currently expect the FOMC to also be on hold at the …

53 days ago

Verstappen powers to pole at Miami Grand Prix with Norris in second

  • World champion bounces back after sprint race penalty
  • Hamilton a disappointing 12th after promising sprint

Max Verstappen claimed pole position for the Miami Grand Prix, securing the place for Red Bull…

58 days ago

HVS: Q1 2025 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates

The Census Bureau released the Residential Vacancies and Homeownership report for Q1 2025 today.

The results of this survey were significantly distorted by the pandemic in 2020.
This report is freq…

4 months ago

MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increased Slightly in Q4 2024

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increased Slightly in Q4 2024

A brief excerpt:
From the MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increase in the Fourth Quarter of…

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